Do not turn a score into a match promise
Program selection uses more than one exam result, and historical matched-applicant data does not create a universal specialty cutoff.
Free USMLE Step 2 CK score predictor. Combine CCSSA, UWSA, Free 120, and AMBOSS inputs into one independent estimate. Review the midpoint together with its estimated planning range.
Select Step 2 CK in the form below, then enter your practice scores. The calculator outputs your point estimate, estimated range and model-based pass estimate.
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Suppose you enter CCSSA Form 12 = 248, UWSA 2 = 255, and Free 120 = 78%. The calculator applies the UWSA-2 −2 correction (see the table below), weights your most recent forms, and returns a point estimate near 250 with an estimated planning range of roughly ±8. Read against the specialty table, that sits around the median for diagnostic radiology and well above the family-medicine range — useful context when you are deciding whether your score supports your target specialty.
Illustrative only — your result depends on your exact forms and dates. The corrections and assumptions are documented in our methodology.
A predicted score is not a residency-match forecast. Use these checks before comparing a model output with specialty data.
Program selection uses more than one exam result, and historical matched-applicant data does not create a universal specialty cutoff.
If you consult match data, match the applicant type, specialty, cycle, and reported statistic. Do not apply a fixed adjustment from one group to another.
Match reports and program practices change. Use current NRMP publications and individual program information for application planning.
Use official assessment feedback for exam readiness and current advising or program data for application strategy. One model output cannot answer both questions.
These values are versioned internal model assumptions. They are not official conversions and are not proof that every assessment has a universal bias.
| Source | Model handling | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|
| CCSSA forms 9-15 | Use the equated score report | Modelled |
| UWSA 1 | Internal source adjustment | −5 |
| UWSA 2 | Internal source adjustment | −2 |
| Free 120 | Percentage input; internal mapping | 0 |
| AMBOSS SA | Preserve reported 3-digit estimate; lower source weight | 0 |
An illustrative sequence, not an evidence-based prescription. Adapt it to your school's guidance and the assessments you still have unused.
Use an unused Step 2 CK CCSSA form to establish a baseline and identify content areas that need work.
Mid-cycle check. Treat the UWSA result as another input, not as a fixed offset from your final score.
Choose another unused CCSSA form and compare both the total result and content-area feedback.
Use as another late-cycle input and compare it with your recent CCSSA results.
Use a fresh form to check whether your trend holds under new questions.
Compare the two signals. Agreement is more informative than a fixed adjustment to either score.
Use the full predicted range for planning. No practice assessment can guarantee the final score.
A reproducible holdout validation dataset is not currently published, so we do not claim a verified median error. More recent, consistent inputs can make the model range more useful, but the official score report remains the primary readiness signal.
No single practice exam guarantees a final score. Use a recent CCSSA result together with Free 120 or UWSA 2, and pay attention to agreement across inputs and the full planning range.
The passing standard is 218 for examinees testing on or after July 1, 2025. A prediction near that threshold should be interpreted with its full planning range, not as a guaranteed pass.
That depends on your application timeline, program requirements, and when an official result is likely to be available. Confirm current reporting guidance with USMLE and discuss application timing with your school or advisor.
There is no universal competitive cutoff. If you use match data, select the current applicant group and specialty, then interpret the score alongside the rest of the application and individual program information.
Add your recent Step 2 CK inputs. The result is an independent planning estimate with a model-generated range, not a guarantee.